Marco Verdi is a seasoned IT strategist with over 15 years of experience in digital transformation and cybersecurity.
Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding the team's side as a fickle companion. At their brilliant best, they can be the ultimate thrill-seekers, unleashing breathtaking performances. But, on other occasions, previously reliable players like Sandro Tonali and his teammates completely go missing.
Compounding these problems is a second-half approach laced with a pronounced element of chaos. Ahead of their trip to Manchester United, the numbers reveal a troubling story: they have let slip 13 precious top-flight points from winning positions this term and are without a clean sheet in ten straight matches in every tournament. Claiming victory at Old Trafford would be only their second-ever domestic success on the road this year.
In contrast, a loss has only come on one occasion in their last six Premier League encounters, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th position, they remain a only six points off the coveted top four. Consider an looming two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a reasonable chance of progressing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it is easier to understand the manager's guarded hope.
“Our issues aren't limited to problems,” said the team's manager. “We have strengths also. The perspective here is decidedly positive at present. I understand everybody else could have a different view, but in my view we are getting better.”
The puzzle remains: will this collection of players recapture – or even exceed – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and European-qualifying finish? Balancing a hectic schedule hinders.
The resulting tiredness might account for the inability to maintain a superb first-half performance against their London rivals, eventually surrendering a 2-0 advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the reason for a lackluster performance in a painful loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side appeared off the pace just days after a grueling Champions League excursion.
While coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless schedule of twice-weekly matches has drastically limited crucial training time. This hinders the squad's tactical adaptation to operating with new striker their number nine up front, rather than the now departed their former star. While extremely gifted, the German forward does not possess the same searing breakaway speed or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's once-formidable high press has occasionally malfunctioned. Fitness issues to key component Joelinton have been a factor, while big-money signings Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have found it tough adapting after their substantial moves.
While a move to a back three might theoretically benefit the cause, a full-blown defensive absence list makes that difficult. Key defenders will be absent for the upcoming key matches, further testing the squad's resources.
At their energetic best, they appear virtually unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive formation has sometimes been self-destructive.
“That game became disorganized at two-all,” said the manager. “However the intention was going for the victory. Our mentality is to always go out to win.”
What appears required is a middle ground – involving superior ball retention, a engine room adept of slowing the tempo, and a sensible readiness to occasionally settle for a draw. Yet, a ambition to compete on all fronts is pushing thin player options to their limit.
It may sound heretical to some, but a more selective strategy in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the current fixture congestion. With vital European & Premier League matches on the agenda, the need to strategically prioritize is becoming ever more apparent.
The manager recognized the scale of the challenge remaining. “When you're at this club, the demands are big. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have plenty of improvement to do to transform into the regularly winning side we envision. Our capacity to put winning runs has eluded us so far.
“The task is to hit that standard we are aware we're able to reach. My feeling is that the self-belief to achieve it is returning. But nowadays we have to show it. It ain't all doom and gloom right now, but the upcoming fixtures will shape much.”
Marco Verdi is a seasoned IT strategist with over 15 years of experience in digital transformation and cybersecurity.